- September 7, 2018
- Posted by: Joey Benedid
- Category: Market News
The Dollar was down this morning as traders were waiting to see how the Trump administration proceeds with the $200B in tariffs against Chinese imports after Thursday’s deadline. As expected, China has stated that it would retaliate accordingly if they were slapped with this round of tariffs. NAFTA talks continue and the pressures of striking an imminent deal seem to have subsided for the time being, that is until the next deadline at the end of the month. With that being said, both sides have been working towards finalizing a deal as per officials from both camps. Jobs numbers were released this morning for North America and the US saw a positive number, reversing USD losses from the overnight session. US Non-Farms came in at 201k compared to the 195k forecast, and US jobless rates were steady at 3.9%. North of the border Canada missed on expectations, losing 51.6k jobs in August and unemployment climbing to 6%. Canada was able to add 40.4k full time jobs, but lost 92k part time positions – 80.1k of those were in Ontario.
EUR and GBP were pushed higher overnight following the weaker Dollar. There is $1.6B in option expiries today at 1.3000. When options of this size are set to expire, the market tends to gravitate towards the strike price. With jobs numbers being released this morning, the only item left on the calendar today is Mexican CPI (4.85% vs 4.81%). Next week’s calendar shows a BoE and ECB rate decision on Thursday, with US CPI and Retail Sales also coming out at the end of the week.
Short term support and resistance is 1.3105 and 1.3235 respectively, with RSI at 58 and the 200-day moving average residing at 1.2856.