Morning Commentary & Currency Insights – October 10, 2018

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The Dollar Index is steady today as the US 10-Year Yields have come off their highs from yesterday, easing the gains we’ve seen from USD over the course of the past few trading sessions. Trump also chimed in on the Fed during an interview with CNBC yesterday. He stated his displeasure with the rate of which the Fed is hiking interest rates and also saying that he likes low interest rates. Hurricane Michael has continued to gain strength as it aims to make landfall on the Gulf Coast later today. This Category 4 storm has cut production of oil by about 40% and gas output by roughly 28% in the Gulf. CAD is quiet today as Canadian Building Permits missed expectations by 0.1%, however jumped 1.9% from last month’s -1.5% figure, getting back into positive territory.

EUR is still soft as tensions appear to be rising between Italy and the European Commission over Italy’s budget plans. The government in Rome appears to be steadfast on maintaining a budget deficit and reeling it in incrementally over the course of the next three years, however the EU wants Italy to adhere to the rules and regulations now. Sterling saw gains this morning following reports that terms of a UK exit could be settled with the EU as early as next week. This following months of failed attempts to strike a deal with the EU.

A quiet day on that calendar with no primary economic data to speak of, however tomorrow will be the highlight for the week with the BoE Credit Conditions & Bank Liabilities Survey, US CPI (2.4% vs 2.7%) and the US Treasury report will be published tomorrow. Short term support and resistance are 1.2882 and 1.3087 respectively, with RSI sitting at 49 and the 200-day moving average residing at 1.2881.

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